Red Sox Reality Check

The New York Yankees, desperate to make the playoffs, completed their "deal with the devil" agreeing to an eight year, 180 million dollar contract with Mark Teixeira. GM Brian Cashman surely will announce, "it's not about the money, but rather returning a championship caliber team to our fans who deserve one (for the outlandish money they'll be paying for tickets)." The Yankees seem to have cornered the market on the high-priced spread, with Alex Rodriguez, Teixeira, C.C. Sabathia, and Derek Jeter all getting paid at least 17 million dollars annually, and recent free agent pitcher A.J. Burnett a mere piker at 16 plus extra large annually. The Yankees weren't content to pay only twenty-three million dollars in luxury tax, as they'll try to top that. Fans across America are adopting the "Yankee Hater" culture, this one from Seattle. Will Boston fans concede the season after the Yankees have gone Over the Hot Stove Top in acquiring the best tw...

Player A 152 552 99 159 29 4 37 103 5 1 70 81 .288 .368 .556 Player B 162 644 112 194 41 3 43 144 4 0 72 124 .301 .379 .575 The measure of greatness . Player A's lines were arguably the WORST of his career up to age 35. He was an OPS +149 then. In fact, the stat line for Player A occurred when he was 35, during the downside of his career. At age 25 player A also had 40 stolen bases as well as .296/.369/.557 and OPS +146 relative to the rest of the league. Player B's stat line is the BEST of his career, at age 25, with an OPS + 144. Player B is Mark Teixeira, looking for over 22 million dollars a year. Player A, Willie Mays. Moral of the story? Nobody would have enough money to pay Willie Mays today.

Click chart to ENLARGE. The Hardball Times has a rating system to project player performance. Where exactly does Mark Teixeira fit on the non-Borassian ratings scale? Using their scale, he's in the vicinity of the top 10 offensive players. No doubt that will translate into "mucho dinero" as 4 of the top 5 players are 'Latin' ballplayers. I wonder how much Barry Bonds would cost...

Mark Teixeira will be an excellent player, regardless of whether he finds a home in Boston or not. Just where does Teixeira fit in the hierarchy of MLB? He's in the top ten in OPS in MLB. _____________________________________________ For this stage in his career, he's in very good company. ____________________________________________ "A man has to feed his family." Nobody could say he's not been a good provider. ____________________________________________ "You can judge a man by the company he keeps."

...and visions of sugarplums danced in their heads. What will the Red Sox lineup look like in 2009? The Red Sox are said to be in final negotiations with uber-agent Scott Boras for Mark Teixeira. You never know. CF - Jacoby Ellsbury 2B - Dustin Pedroia DH - David Ortiz 1B - Mark Teixeira 3B - Kevin Youkilis RF - J.D. Drew LF - Jason Bay SS - Jed Lowrie C - Jason Varitek

We'll never get him. It breaks the rule! "I before 'E' except after 'C', or when sounded like 'A' as in neighbor and weigh (edited should be hit over the head with a Strunk and White)." Or the exceptions: "neither foreign financier seized either species of weird leisure." Or Teixeira.

Tony Mazz has a new blog entry up, including the following: "Somewhere along the line, someone needs to devise a system in which people who post comments on the internet are required to provide their real names and, perhaps, places of employment. This would help eliminate the legions of nitwits and cowards who shred anything and everything in their path while hiding in their mothers’ basements." Columns center around opinions, and opinions sometimes derive from facts, but often from false beliefs that fail to distinguish causation from correlation. In 1968, Ken Harrelson had a 1.000 fielding percentage in right field for the Red Sox. Few observers thought that Harrelson was a Gold Glove outfielder. The imprimatur of a major newspaper now qualifies a sportswriter as being infallible based on experience, access, and judgment . Other opinions based on statistics, close observation of professional sports for over forty-five years, and spectacularly unsuccessful college and amateu...

As the General Manager of a professional sports franchise (or any business) what properties do you value? Should the Red Sox be any different? Putting together a list, I'd certainly include the following. A history of 'winning', that is, the capability of contributing to an organizational culture of winning. How important is winning to the player? The Jose' Canseco 'what's the big deal about winning all the time' attitude simply disqualifies the player. The ability to make the players around you better. Baseball being the consummate team sport marked by individual achievement, that's less of a factor than for example, basketball. The capability to dominate the game via your presence, preferably on a regular basis. Versatility. Is the player a 'one-trick pony' or an all-around achiever? How is the player's performance trending? Consistency Durability (will also incorporate age and health status) What is the player's locker room presence? T...

Tony Mazz with a big apology to readers for his overly ardent defense of Jason Varitek. It's not easy to acknowledge having erred. As a physician, I have a regular seat at the humility table and as an ardent stock trader , it's simply daily dining.

The Yankees sign A.J. Burnett to a 5 year contract for 82.5 million dollars. What exactly is that likely to mean? Here is a table of the five year records of some major league pitchers, in fact some of the best in recent history. Many pitched during the four-man rotation era, and many are or will end up in the Hall of Fame. Nobody would say A.J. Burnett is the equal of ANY of them. Greg Maddux averaged nearly eighteen wins, Curt Schilling sixteen, Roger Clemens fifteen, Nolan Ryan fourteen, and Pedro Martinez ten during this age frame. Sandy Koufax and Don Drysdale were done, and Juan Marichal on the downside. Here are A.J. Burnett's similarity scores from Baseball Reference . All of these pitchers are pretty good but how many would you want to pony up over sixteen million a year for, for FIVE years? As they say, "a fool and his money are soon parted."

Today Tony Massarotti has a piece about Jason Varitek in the Globe online . There are two possibilities: Massarotti has lost all perspective about Jason Varitek Massarotti has simply lost his mind in the context of baseball and modern America We are in the midst of the biggest financial crisis in the past seventy-nine years. Unemployment has surged, Americans are struggling as many have not in our lifetime, and the American standard of living is falling. Meanwhile, Massarotti worries about how the Red Sox might be hurting the feelings of an aging star with declining skills whose principal worry is where his next twelve to twenty million dollars comes from. Nobody questions Varitek's work ethic. We willingly grant him credit for his role in shepherding the Red Sox pitching staff through recent success, achievement earned through a greater focus on run prevention. Varitek has sacrificed his body for the Red Sox, from daily ice immersions to recovery from serious injury. But we also r...